The LBBC Business Risk Advisor
The Libyan people’s political and economic hopes following the 2011 revolution, repeatedly confirmed by several elections over the years that followed, have been frustrated by political failure and armed conflict between rival politicians, regions and militias.
There is no sign of an early resolution to this conflict and it may get worse before it gets better. But the country’s tribulations will pass and the Libyan people’s aspirations for a more settled and prosperous future will be within their reach once more. At that stage, they will look for goods, services and partnerships with overseas suppliers and, as an oil exporter, will have the financial resources to pay for the country’s needs.
No-one can predict when stability will return so it is crucial to monitor developments in-country to ensure that, when it does, LBBC members are ready to resume business. The LBBC has created this page to provide members and their clients with access to up-to-date information and analyses. The material on this page is provided by professional risk advisory companies with staff on the ground in Libya.
This is not to say that there is no business to be done in Libya even now. Visible (and no doubt invisible) exports continue, albeit at a modest rate, and some contracts are offered. The risk advisory page provides a valuable resource for members considering responding to these business prospects and the opportunity to consult the companies involved on the conditions affecting the viability and location of the particular business under consideration.
We are sure that LBBC members - both experienced Libyan operators and businesses new to the Libyan market - will find the information provided on this page and the more detailed advice available from the providers both interesting and a valuable input to their business strategies and decisions.
GardaWorld .Xplored Risk Analysis and Reporting:
GardaWorld risk reports for Libya are produced in country and contain the very latest ground-truth information that analyses the current security situation, political, regulatory and cultural challenges. Reports are designed for people with operational reporting requirements and can support staff deployment and movement plans with their up-to-date review of current threat levels or risk in Libya.
Read the Libya .Xplored latest Libya Report [17 February] here
Prepared by Risk Analysis Team, Libya
|Unity Resources Group|
Unity is a leading provider of effective solutions to business, governments and organisations pursuing success in challenging and high risk environments. Our Libya operations and extensive network of reliable local sources provide invaluable insights to clients on successfully navigating challenges in their areas of operations within Libya. Our experienced country management team are able to support clients to enter the country, set up and secure their operations and provide on-going consultation services, so they can focus on their core business and achieve organisational success.
The Unity Country Manager and team in Tripoli are vastly experienced, the CM has over 16 years of operational experience in Libya, our team has a vast understanding of operating environment and key contacts throughout the country. As always Unity intend to work closely with our clients to fulfil their aims in a safe manner given the restricted environment. The assets security resources and policies are aligned to meet the Libyan environment, our aim is also to train and deploy Libyan operators wherever possible. www.unityresourcesgroup.com
Links: Read Unity Resources Group Report -Libya Monitor January 2017 here
|JANUS GLOBAL OPERATIONS|
JANUS GLOBAL OPERATIONS continues to keep our permanent expat country management team on the ground in Tripoli supporting our clients international and local personnel as well as critical infrastructure. We are also currently involved in working with many of our clients on their re-entry planning, security risk management surveys and political sector analysis.
Janus Global Operations - Libya Security Summary - 21 February 2017
On the political front this week and after two days of talks in Egypt by the two rival Libyan Governments, Fayez Seraj, the head of the Government of National Accord (GNA) and the House of Representatives (HoR), backed commander of the Libyan National Army (LNA) Field Marshal, Khalifa Haftar, have both agreed to hold both presidential and parliamentary elections in February 2018. However, later reports came in, that Fayez Seraj had stated that ‘’a precious opportunity” had been missed when his rival, military strongman Khalifa Haftar, refused to meet him for Egypt-backed talks. He further went onto to say that “another precious opportunity that we hoped would be the beginning of a solution to the state of division and suffering” and that “Intransigent political stances and oversized egos were preventing a resolution to the conflict’’.
The HoR president Ageela Salah met with Martin Kobler in Alexandria, however, no statement was issued after the meeting, but later Kobler went on to tweet that ‘’discussions had been constructive and the next steps were in resolving the paralysis over the Libyan Political Agreement. It is thought that Salah was pressed for his view on what changes to the LPA would be acceptable in the east and could command support in the parliament.
The United Nations' delegate for Libya Martin Kobler expressed his concern in relation to the formation of the Libyan National Guard (LNG) last week. He went on to say “Attempts to create parallel bodies and obstruct the implementation of the Libyan Political Agreement (LPA) will generate further disorder and insecurity." He went on to give his full support for the legitimate Libyan authorities and for a reinvigorated political dialogue to implement the LPA. Kobler called on for a United Libyan Army that would provide ‘’security for all Libyan people’’ and expressed that police and security forces should be promptly activated to ensure the safety of Libyans.
In an interview in Egypt this week, Jadallah Al-Okli, board member of the National Oil Corporation (NOC) stated that. ‘’Libya’s oil output had exceeded 700,000 barrels a day’’. He went on to indicate that Libya’s oil production is due to keep rising as working conditions for Internationals improve. Jadallah Al-Okli, was also reported to have said that the crude oil production is due to reach 1.2 million barrels per day by August and 1.7 Million by March 2018 when Libya’s ports and export terminals are working at full capacity.
The capital this week saw the Prime Minister of the Salvation government Khalifa Ghwell inaugurate the Tripoli International Airport, despite unfinished reconstruction at the main passenger terminal. He went on to say that, “this government has embarked in reviewing bids for purchasing new planes and we will contact international companies to buy security equipment for the airport to secure passengers”.
Friday marked the 6th Anniversary of the 2011 uprising that toppled dictator Muhammar Gaddafi. Thousands of people gathered in the capital's Martyrs Square even though the country reels in political chaos and security problems. Forces from the GNA were deployed to ensure the commemoration was trouble free.
Monday saw the motorcade of Fayez Seraj come under heavy fire as it travelled past the nearby sector of Abu Slim, after returning from an Inauguration. Two guards were injured; however no injuries were sustained in the presidential party. Conflicting reports indicated that the motorcade was targeted, whereas other reports indicated that is wasn’t.
Whilst in the east, reports came in, that, the Libyan National Army (LNA) has carried out further airstrikes on Al Jufra Airbase. It is believed that the strikes were carried out on known Benghazi Defence Brigade (BDB), as well as its supposed headquarters on the air base. Casualty numbers are unknown; however reports came in that a number of the BDB supporters had been killed.
Janus Global Operations continues to keep our permanent expat country management team on the ground in Tripoli supporting our clients international and local personnel as well as critical infrastructure. We are also currently involved in working with many of our clients on their re-entry planning, security risk management surveys and political sector analysis. To discuss these services further please contact us on +218 911713972 or +971 508764175 or visit our website www.janusgo.com
|MS Risk supports clients in a variety of business sectors with research, investigative activity, crisis response, project management and consulting services. MS Risk enjoys strong links working in partnership with and supporting law enforcement and military agencies. It has completed projects for clients around the world and in sectors such as natural resources, maritime, supply chain, financial services, media, hospitality, construction engineering and for the legal profession. www.msrisk.com To discuss our services, please contact email@example.com or +44 207 754 3555
Links: Read MS Risk's latest report Outlook- Libyan Port Security here - 16 October 2016
If you would like to contribute to this section of the LBBC website, in the first instance please contact the Secretariat at: firstname.lastname@example.org or call +44 (0) 20 7152 4051