Council Members

The LBBC Business Risk Advisor

The Libyan people’s political and economic hopes following the 2011 revolution, repeatedly confirmed by several elections over the years that followed, have been frustrated by political failure and armed conflict between rival politicians, regions and militias.

LBBC Business Risk Advisor

There is no sign of an early resolution to this conflict and it may get worse before it gets better.  But the country’s tribulations will pass and the Libyan people’s aspirations for a more settled and prosperous future will be within their reach once more.  At that stage, they will look for goods, services and partnerships with overseas suppliers and, as an oil exporter, will have the financial resources to pay for the country’s needs.

No-one can predict when stability will return so it is crucial to monitor developments in-country to ensure that, when it does, LBBC members are ready to resume business. The LBBC has created this page to provide members and their clients with access to up-to-date information and analyses. The material on this page is provided by professional risk advisory companies with staff on the ground in Libya.

This is not to say that there is no business to be done in Libya even now.  Visible (and no doubt invisible) exports continue, albeit at a modest rate, and some contracts are offered.   The risk advisory page provides a valuable resource for members considering responding to these business prospects and the opportunity to consult the companies involved on the conditions affecting the viability and location of the particular business under consideration.

We are sure that LBBC members - both experienced Libyan operators and businesses new to the Libyan market - will find the information provided on this page and the more detailed advice available from the providers both interesting and a valuable input to their business strategies and decisions.

SNE Special Projects


SNE continues to keep our permanent expat country management team on the ground in Tripoli supporting our clients international and local personnel as well as critical infrastructure. We are also currently involved in working with many of our clients on their re-entry planning, security risk management surveys and political sector analysis. To discuss these services further please contact us on specialprojects@snegroup.co.uk 

Links:

SNE Libya Security Summary - 3 May 2016

In a pre-recorded speech marking nearly 30 days since his arrival into Tripoli, the head of the UN backed Government of National Accord (GNA), Fayez al-Sarraj called for a united Libya. He said there were many challenges facing his government, which in order to begin operating has yet to receive the endorsement of the country's elected parliament. He announced plans for a concerted campaign to drive the Islamic State group out of the North African country, but without foreign intervention.

Social media reports and pictures showed factions from both eastern and western Libya could be gearing up for an advance on Sirte. In the southwest and east on Tuesday, 1,000 plus men left Ghabghab, the main Army base at Marj. The convoy consisted of armoured personnel carriers and pick-ups that were shipped to Tobruk from the UAE last weekend. From the West, Misratan forces, believed to be around 3,000, headed toward Sirte for a three pronged assault as Operation AL Ghardabiyah two started taking shape.

The unity government's leadership said it welcomed the "push by various factions and armed forces to fight Islamic State forces in Sirte", but warned that an uncoordinated offensive could lead to civil war. "In the absence of coordination and unified leadership, the council expresses its concern that the battle in Sirte against Daesh (Islamic State) will be a confrontation between those armed forces". The unity government fears that separate operations in Sirte could spark clashes between the multitude of different fighting forces in Libya and play into the jihadists' hands. 
As the convoy pushed west from Misrata, International newspapers reported that ISIS ambushed a Sirte bound convoy of Italian, British and Libyan Special forces from Misrata on Wednesday. All governments have denied the attack and the existence of such a group. 

A second major maritime migration accident occurred in as many weeks off the coat of Sabratah. 84 migrants are still missing after an inflatable craft sank whilst trying to disembark the African nationals to a mother ship.

A tanker with oil from eastern Libya returned with its cargo to the North African country after the United Nations blacklisted the shipment, amid an escalating struggle between the nation’s rival governments for control of its crude oil wealth.

The capital has seen a notable rise in incidents this week mainly criminality with kidnappings and a targeted killing of a young Lieutenant; however the street clashes reported a few weeks back have remained quiet.

In Bani Walid, south of al-Khums Smugglers clashed with illegal immigrants on Wednesday, killing 19. Sources stated that the smugglers and victims had a dispute which led to the incident.
General Hafter’s men have continued their clearance operations in Benghazi as it was reported that 25 of Saiqa Special Forces soldiers died in fighting in April, a further 93 were wounded. This is in addition to the United Nations Support Mission in Libya (UNSMIL) documented 47 civilian casualties, including 33 deaths and 14 injuries in the same month.

Libyan warplanes launched a new wave of air raids targeting militant groups in the city as LNA came under attack from small pockets of militants.  Clearance and holding operations are still taking place however, this is a slow process with casualties being inflicted by mines and booby traps.

Derna residents witnessed continued activity as LNA forces try to flush out IS militants as it is believed they are withdrawing to Sirte. LNA helicopters assisted with the clearance operations as demonstrations took place condemning the civilian casualties but at the same time welcoming the freedom of the city.

The south has remained reasonably quiet with some reports of smugglers clashing over internal feuds.

SNE continues to keep our permanent expat country management team on the ground in Tripoli supporting our clients international and local personnel as well as critical infrastructure. We are also currently involved in working with many of our clients on their re-entry planning, security risk management surveys and political sector analysis. To discuss these services further please contact us on the details below.
                                                                                                                                                 
To discuss further how SNE can support your projects in Libya please email specialprojects@snegroup.co.uk or call our Dubai office on +971 44561542 or +971 503786803 or visit our website www.snespecialprojects.co.uk

Libya Reverb Project (LRP)

The Libya Reverb Project (LRP) is an effort to understand the reverberations of current events in Libya among social media communities.  To do this, LRP monitors the Facebook pages of prominent Arabic language media outlets that primarily report on Libyan news. LRP conducts thematic analysis of the most engaging posts in order to uncover emerging trends in the social media discourse.  To receive the weekly reports, please subscribe here.  

Links:

Read the Libya Reverb Project's special report  No.17 on Media Sites on Facebook April 08 -­ 14, 2016

If you would like to contribute to this section of the LBBC website, in the first instance please contact the Secretariat at: secretariat@lbbc.org.uk or call +44 (0) 20 7152 4051