Council Members

The LBBC Business Risk Advisor

The Libyan people’s political and economic hopes following the 2011 revolution, repeatedly confirmed by several elections over the years that followed, have been frustrated by political failure and armed conflict between rival politicians, regions and militias.

LBBC Business Risk Advisor

There is no sign of an early resolution to this conflict and it may get worse before it gets better.  But the country’s tribulations will pass and the Libyan people’s aspirations for a more settled and prosperous future will be within their reach once more.  At that stage, they will look for goods, services and partnerships with overseas suppliers and, as an oil exporter, will have the financial resources to pay for the country’s needs.

No-one can predict when stability will return so it is crucial to monitor developments in-country to ensure that, when it does, LBBC members are ready to resume business. The LBBC has created this page to provide members and their clients with access to up-to-date information and analyses. The material on this page is provided by professional risk advisory companies with staff on the ground in Libya.

This is not to say that there is no business to be done in Libya even now.  Visible (and no doubt invisible) exports continue, albeit at a modest rate, and some contracts are offered.   The risk advisory page provides a valuable resource for members considering responding to these business prospects and the opportunity to consult the companies involved on the conditions affecting the viability and location of the particular business under consideration.

We are sure that LBBC members - both experienced Libyan operators and businesses new to the Libyan market - will find the information provided on this page and the more detailed advice available from the providers both interesting and a valuable input to their business strategies and decisions.

SNE Special Projects

SNE Special Projects have operated within Libya since the revolution of 2011 and are a fully licensed security provider working with our Libyan partner company. We have kept our permanent British & Libyan Country Management Team in Tripoli throughout the last few difficult months, supporting our clients staff and critical infrastructure and offering up to date, regular and accurate reporting throughout this period. We are now in a strong position to advise and support our clients as they look to plan their re-entry back into Libya as and when the current situation stabilises and allows for remobilization. We have a vast amount of experience of supporting clients from the media, telecoms, power generation, Oil & Gas, Construction & NGO sectors.  For more information on our services within Libya please email us at specialprojects@snegroup.co.uk 

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SNE Libya Security Summary - 25 August 2015

The Migrant crisis continues unabated and the Geneva based “International Organisation for Migration” (IOM) agency released records showing that 237,000 people have crossed the Mediterranean this year already with most landing in Spain, Italy and Malta. Tunisian records show at least 250,000 Libyans living in this neighbouring country, although Tunisian politicians put the numbers at more than 1 million. 

There is an air of expectation in Libya generally as the UNSMIL talks reconvene in Morocco on Thursday with all parties due to attend and recent publicised agreed support from the Arab League and International community. Libya’s internationally recognised government with Arab League support is hoping to push the UN to lift the arms embargo.

Mustafa Rugibani, currently Libya’s Ambassador to the Vatican and one of the more than two dozen candidates being considered by the House of Representatives (HoR) to be their nominee as prime minister in the new Government of National Accord  said in an interview this week that he is convinced that the General National Congress (GNC) in Tripoli will rejoin the UN-brokered dialogue process and approve the new administration.

Tripoli remained major incident free this reporting period and with the recently re-enforced Libya Dawn check points on the notorious Western coastal road past Janzour and on to Ras Jdir Border Crossing point and similarly recently upgraded positions heading East to Misrata, the spike in car-jackings and random attacks has slowed, but it is still not safe especially in the hours of darkness and most Libyans still choose to be safelyat home at night.

It was reported that GECOL have visited Istanbul this week to attempt to convince Turkish contracting companies to return to Libya and continue with re-fit work on various power stations.  It is not reported what degree of success they achieved but SNE has knowledge of at least two outstations being started and providing additional power and the previously reported 12 hour daily power cuts have been reduced, despite soaring temperatures outside and an increased demand on the grid.

Tebu and Tuarag members this week united in a rare act of collaboration and walked out of the Constitution drafting assembly and with the recently drafted peace deal between these warring tribes still holding, it adds some hope for the dangerous Southern Libya region, still rocked by criminality and apparently random  killings as criminal gangs seek to gain territory.

The Mayor of Central Tripoli, Mahdi Al Harati was removed from his post for incompetence however he has refused to leave and continues to occupy his office.

The expected Misrata-led push to free Sirte from Daesh control has not yet begun, other than Libya Dawn airstrikes on positions in the city and the Eastern based LNA air force have been carrying out numerous strikes on Daesh positions in Derna with some notable success.

Tobruk has seen further civil unrest with a number of peaceful demonstrations in the city.

Salloum border crossing point between Libya and Egypt has been reported as suffering from staff walkouts over pay and conditions, undoubtedly brought about by the migrant smuggling crisis.  Historically it has always been a busy crossing point but staff now struggle to keep up with the demands on them.

Hundreds of illegal crossing points need patrolling along the porous border and the smuggling gangs are renowned for violence rather than being caught. 

SNE are supporting our clients at present in Tripoli with business essential travel visits and are offering a full turnkey security risk management, safe transportation with secure accommodation and life support pack-age based from our Tripoli villa. 

The British FCO and US State Department are still advising against travel to Libya and are monitoring the security and political situation before considering remobilisation plans back into Libya at some point in the future.

SNE remains fully operational on the ground within Tripoli, where our mixed British and Libyan Country Management Team are able to support any of our existing and additional clients requests and provide up to date accurate information and analysis on the ever changing situation to those clients who are currently out of country monitoring the situation with an aim to re-deploying when the security and political situation allows stabilises and allows for travel. 

Before considering travel to Libya, an itinerary specific pre-travel risk assessment including mitigation measures are recommended. In-country personnel should be confident in their evacuation procedures and crisis management plans and in light of the current situation these should be checked and updated where necessary with the appropriate level of support in country to activate the plans when required.

To discuss further how SNE can support your projects in Libya please email specialprojects@snegroup.co.uk or call our Dubai office on +971 44561542 or +971 503786803 or visit our website www.snespecialprojects.co.uk

Fidus Insight

Fidus is a risk monitoring service specialising in the Middle East and North Africa. We support a range of commercial sectors, providing our clients with a broad suite of reports on markets where uncertainty and risk prevail.

Fidus has built a reputation for analytical finesse and clear reporting. We write our reports with the reader in mind, contextualising the most complex issues into a format that is actionable by all end users, in all levels of an organisation. See examples of our reporting, or contact us for more information on info@fidusinsight.com

We are committed to our ethos of ‘refined insight, plain speaking

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KEY EVENTS
- Resumption of dialogue in Geneva postponed
- Confrontation between former regime supporters and Libya Dawn
- Islamic State conducts suicide car bomb attack in Derna
- Tripoli still plagued by power cuts

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The United Nations Support Mission in Libya (UNSMIL) dialogue, scheduled to get back underway on 10 August, was postponed to allow for the National Salvation Government (NSG) to send representatives to the meeting in Geneva. The NSG had been boycotting the dialogue in protest at the fifth draft proposal for a unity government, which relegated them to an advisory capacity. 

There are significant divisions in Tripoli over whether or not to participate in the dialogue. In addition to political divisions, various militia groups have also adopted opposing stances, some in support of dialogue and others in unmitigated opposition. These divisions do offer hope that a more moderate centre can emerge on the NSG side, though this is yet to materialise. Fundamentally, it may be that the creation of a more compromising political centre among the NSG will only be achieved through confrontation between rival Libya Dawn militias. 

There was a slight uptick in activity in and around Derna, where Islamic State (IS) fighters are currently engaged in a battle with local groups, having been dislodged from the town in June. On 9 August, a Sudanese national fighting for IS carried out a suicide car bombing… Full Report (pdf) 


If you would like to contribute to this section of the LBBC website, in the first instance please contact the Secretariat at: secretariat@lbbc.org.uk or call +44 (0) 20 7152 4051